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Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta logo Azerbaijan flag Azerbaijan - Birinci Dasta Regular Season - 23 Wednesday, April 22, 2026 12:00
Cebrayil logo Cebrayil PPG 1.60
2-1 MISS
Mingachevir logo Mingachevir PPG 2.00
Over2.5· +20.6% ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 18.0%
Odds: 6.20 EV: +11.6%
Draw 18.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -29.3%
Away 63.4%
Odds: 1.44 EV: -8.7%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.7% Odds: 1.73 +20.6%
Over 3.5 48.4% Odds: —
BTTS 63.7% Odds: —
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2
2nd 1-1
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Cebrayil
1.21
Mingachevir
2.39

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +20.6% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

Verdict & Form

⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
65%
DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.60) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

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