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Vojvodina vs Partizan Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Championship Group - 32 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 15:00

Vojvodina

PPG 2.20 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Partizan

PPG 1.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 74.5% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1% — a clear edge.

+30.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-13.1%0-22.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-04.9%1-17.4%1-25.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.7%2-18.7%2-26.6%2-33.4%2-4+1.8%3 3-04.5%3-16.9%3-25.2%3-32.7%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-17.1%4+-25.4%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.3% 45.9% 2.18 +22.7%

Draw 19.4% 28.6% 3.50 -32.1%

Away win 24.2% 34.5% 2.90 -29.8%

Over 2.5 74.5% 57.1% 1.75 +30.4%

Over 3.5 54.4% 34.5% 2.90 +57.8%

BTTS 70.8% 62.5% 1.60 +13.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 41%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.0%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 70%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob70.8%

H 56% / xG 2.4-1.5 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 1–1 7.4%

#3 3–1 6.9%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vojvodina2.4

Partizan1.5

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 54.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VOJVODINA · PPG 2.20

PARTIZAN · PPG 1.93

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.20), Away GOOD (1.93)

Win probability 1X2

Vojvodina (H) 56.3%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV +22.7%

Draw 19.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -32.1%

Partizan (A) 24.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -29.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vojvodina face Partizan in Serbia - Super Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vojvodina a 56% chance, the draw 19% and Partizan 24%, so Vojvodina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Vojvodina and 1.5 for Partizan (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vojvodina are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.93 for Partizan. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +57.8%. This match finished 0-0.

Vojvodina vs Partizan Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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