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Chaco For Ever vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 26 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 19:00

Chaco For Ever

PPG 1.18 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Los Andes

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.1%0-115.1%0-26.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-016.5%1-113.1%1-25.2%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-07.1%2-15.6%2-22.2%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.0%3-11.6%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.5% 43.5% 2.30 -11.5%

Draw 32.8% 37.0% 2.70 -11.4%

Away win 28.7% 29.4% 3.40 -1.5%

Over 2.5 34.5% 32.3% 3.10 +7.0%

Over 3.5 18.2% 14.3% 7.00 +16.4%

BTTS 43.6% 42.6% 2.35 +2.5%

Home O1.5 30.6% 33.3% 3.00 -8.2%

Away O1.5 21.7% 23.8% 4.20 -5.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 293 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 64%

ROI -5.1%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob43.6%

D 33% / xG 0.9-0.8 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 19.1%

#2 1–0✓ 16.5%

#3 0–1 15.1%

#4 1–1 13.1%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chaco For Ever0.9

Los Andes0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

CHACO FOR EVER · PPG 1.18

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.36

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.07, combined xG 1.66 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Chaco For Ever (H) 38.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -11.5%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -11.4%

Los Andes (A) 28.7%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chaco For Ever face Los Andes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chaco For Ever a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Los Andes 29%, so Chaco For Ever are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Chaco For Ever and 0.8 for Los Andes (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chaco For Ever are averaging 1.18 points per game versus 1.36 for Los Andes. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +16.4%. This match finished 1-0.

Chaco For Ever vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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