R. Surdulica vs Novi Pazar Prediction— Serbia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Surdulica face Novi Pazar in Serbia - Super Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Surdulica a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Novi Pazar 24%, so R. Surdulica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for R. Surdulica and 1.0 for Novi Pazar (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Surdulica are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.33 for Novi Pazar. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.0%. This match finished 2-0.