Today / Argentina - Primera C / Victoriano Arenas vs Berazategui

Victoriano Arenas vs Berazategui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 25 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 18:00

Victoriano Arenas

PPG 1.50 · HOME

LAST 5

WDLWD

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Berazategui

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLDLD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-029.8%0-117.4%0-25.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.6%1-110.9%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-05.8%2-13.4%2-21.0%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-01.2%3-10.7%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.7% 34.7% 2.88 -5.8%

Draw 37.5% 36.4% 2.75 +3.1%

Away win 29.8% 40.8% 2.45 -16.2%

Over 2.5 29.5% 29.4% 3.40 +0.2%

Over 3.5 12.3% 14.3% 7.00 -8.3%

BTTS 39.7% 38.2% 2.62 +4.0%

Home O1.5 30.6% 23.1% 4.33 +32.5%

Away O1.5 16.4% 28.6% 3.50 -25.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 89 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 61%

ROI -66.8%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob39.7%

D 38% / xG 0.6-0.6 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 40%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 29.8%

#2 1–0✓ 18.6%

#3 0–1 17.4%

#4 1–1 10.9%

#5 2–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Victoriano Arenas0.6

Berazategui0.6

COMBINED 1.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.5% · O3.5 PROB 12.3%

Form & verdict PPG

VICTORIANO ARENAS · PPG 1.50

BERAZATEGUI · PPG 1.75

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear value

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.04, combined xG 1.21 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Victoriano Arenas (H) 32.7%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -5.8%

Draw 37.5%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV +3.1%

Berazategui (A) 29.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -16.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Victoriano Arenas face Berazategui in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Victoriano Arenas a 33% chance, the draw 38% and Berazategui 30%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Victoriano Arenas and 0.6 for Berazategui (1.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Victoriano Arenas are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 1.75 for Berazategui. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +32.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Victoriano Arenas vs Berazategui Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera C Predictions