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Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 17:00

Ghazl El Mehalla

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

LLD ··

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Pyramids FC

PPG 1.71 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-115.2%0-28.1%0-32.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-012.6%1-113.4%1-27.1%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-05.6%2-15.9%2-23.2%2-31.1%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.6%3-11.7%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.3% 15.2% 6.60 +106.6%

Draw 32.8% 27.8% 3.60 +18.1%

Away win 35.9% 66.2% 1.51 -45.8%

Over 2.5 41.0% 46.5% 2.15 -11.8%

Over 3.5 20.6% 25.6% 3.90 -11.8%

BTTS 47.6% 47.6% 2.10 -0.0%

Home O1.5 30.6% 18.2% 5.50 +68.3%

Away O1.5 34.1% 55.6% 1.80 -38.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.6%

D 33% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.2%

#4 1–0 12.6%

#5 0–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ghazl El Mehalla0.9

Pyramids FC1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.0% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

GHAZL EL MEHALLA · PPG 1.44

PYRAMIDS FC · PPG 1.71

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.18, combined xG 1.95 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ghazl El Mehalla (H) 31.3%

ODDS 6.60 · IMPLIED 15.2% EV +106.6%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +18.1%

Pyramids FC (A) 35.9%

ODDS 1.51 · IMPLIED 66.2% EV -45.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ghazl El Mehalla face Pyramids FC in Egypt - Premier League on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ghazl El Mehalla a 31% chance, the draw 33% and Pyramids FC 36%, so Pyramids FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ghazl El Mehalla and 1.1 for Pyramids FC (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ghazl El Mehalla are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.71 for Pyramids FC. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +68.3%. This match finished 0-3.

Ghazl El Mehalla vs Pyramids FC Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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