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Paris SG W vs Saint-Etienne W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Regular Season - 20 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 14:30

Paris SG W

PPG 1.56 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Saint-Etienne W

PPG 0.56 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.56), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-13.0%0-20.7%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.4%1-16.9%1-21.6%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-016.4%2-17.9%2-21.9%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.6%3-16.0%3-21.4%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-012.3%4+-15.9%4+-21.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 78.5% — — —

Draw 15.3% — — —

Away win 6.2% — — —

Over 2.5 52.3% — — —

Over 3.5 30.1% — — —

BTTS 34.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 44%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob34.2%

H 78% / xG 2.3-0.5 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 34%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0✓ 16.4%

#2 1–0 14.4%

#3 3–0 12.6%

#4 2–1 7.9%

#5 4–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Paris SG W2.3

Saint-Etienne W0.5

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.3% · O3.5 PROB 30.1%

Form & verdict PPG

PARIS SG W · PPG 1.56

SAINT-ETIENNE W · PPG 0.56

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.56), Away POOR (0.56) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Paris SG W (H) 78.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 15.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Saint-Etienne W (A) 6.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Paris SG W face Saint-Etienne W in France - Feminine Division 1 on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Paris SG W a 79% chance, the draw 15% and Saint-Etienne W 6%, so Paris SG W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Paris SG W and 0.5 for Saint-Etienne W (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Paris SG W are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 0.56 for Saint-Etienne W. This match finished 2-0.

Paris SG W vs Saint-Etienne W Prediction— France - Feminine Division 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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