Today / Vrsac vs Loznica

Vrsac vs Loznica Prediction

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Vrsac

PPG 1.53 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Loznica

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-019.0%0-110.7%0-23.0%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.8%1-111.8%1-23.3%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-011.4%2-16.4%2-21.8%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.2%3-12.4%3-20.7%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-10.8%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.4% — — —

Draw 32.7% — — —

Away win 18.9% — — —

Over 2.5 23.2% — — —

Over 3.5 8.7% — — —

BTTS 28.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob28.7%

H 48% / xG 1.1-0.6 / U2.5 23% / NoBTTS 29%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 20.8%

#2 0–0✓ 19.0%

#3 1–1 11.8%

#4 2–0 11.4%

#5 0–1 10.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vrsac1.1

Loznica0.6

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 23.2% · O3.5 PROB 8.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VRSAC · PPG 1.53

LOZNICA · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.53) > Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Vrsac (H) 48.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 32.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Loznica (A) 18.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vrsac face Loznica on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vrsac a 48% chance, the draw 33% and Loznica 19%, so Vrsac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Vrsac and 0.6 for Loznica (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 23% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vrsac are averaging 1.53 points per game versus 1.13 for Loznica. This match finished 0-0.

Vrsac vs Loznica Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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