Today / Trajal Krusevac vs T. Odzaci

Trajal Krusevac vs T. Odzaci Prediction

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Trajal Krusevac
PPG 1.60 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME
T. Odzaci
PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-15.4%0-22.3%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.2%1-110.3%1-24.3%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.6%2-19.8%2-24.1%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-07.4%3-16.2%3-22.6%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-14.6%4+-21.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 62.3%
Draw 21.6%
Away win 16.0%
Over 2.5 51.8%
Over 3.5 29.7%
BTTS 48.5%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 40%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 2-0
xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 62% / xG 1.9-0.8 / O2.5 52% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 12.2%
#2 2–0 11.6%
#3 1–1 10.3%
#4 2–1 9.8%
#5 3–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Trajal Krusevac1.9
T. Odzaci0.8

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.8% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAJAL KRUSEVAC · PPG 1.60

T. ODZACI · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Trajal Krusevac (H) 62.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
T. Odzaci (A) 16.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Trajal Krusevac face T. Odzaci on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trajal Krusevac a 62% chance, the draw 22% and T. Odzaci 16%, so Trajal Krusevac are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Trajal Krusevac and 0.8 for T. Odzaci (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trajal Krusevac are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.47 for T. Odzaci. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

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