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Kabel Novi Sad vs Borac 1926 Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Relegation Group - 32 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 14:00

Kabel Novi Sad

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

Borac 1926

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-111.7%0-25.4%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.5%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.3%2-17.6%2-23.5%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.2%3-12.9%3-21.3%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.1%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 38.5% 2.60 +5.8%

Draw 30.0% 34.7% 2.88 -13.6%

Away win 29.3% 38.5% 2.60 -23.8%

Over 2.5 34.0% — — —

Over 3.5 15.4% — — —

BTTS 41.0% 48.8% 2.05 -16.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob41.0%

H 41% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 12.7%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kabel Novi Sad1.1

Borac 19260.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.0% · O3.5 PROB 15.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KABEL NOVI SAD · PPG 1.00

BORAC 1926 · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.93)

Win probability 1X2

Kabel Novi Sad (H) 40.7%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV +5.8%

Draw 30.0%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -13.6%

Borac 1926 (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kabel Novi Sad face Borac 1926 in Serbia - Prva Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kabel Novi Sad a 41% chance, the draw 30% and Borac 1926 29%, so Kabel Novi Sad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kabel Novi Sad and 0.9 for Borac 1926 (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kabel Novi Sad are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.93 for Borac 1926. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 2-4.

Kabel Novi Sad vs Borac 1926 Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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