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Jedinstvo U. vs Vozdovac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Championship Group - 32 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 14:00

Jedinstvo U.

PPG 1.60 · HOME

1 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Vozdovac

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.3%0-17.2%0-24.9%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-08.4%1-111.4%1-27.7%1-33.5%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.6%2-19.0%2-26.1%2-32.8%2-4+1.3%3 3-03.5%3-14.7%3-23.2%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-12.6%4+-21.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.6% — — —

Draw 24.5% — — —

Away win 32.9% — — —

Over 2.5 56.2% — — —

Over 3.5 33.8% — — —

BTTS 58.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -32.6%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 41%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-5

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.9%

H 43% / xG 1.6-1.4 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–0 8.4%

#4 1–2 7.7%

#5 0–1 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jedinstvo U.1.6

Vozdovac1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 56.2% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%

Form & verdict PPG

JEDINSTVO U. · PPG 1.60

VOZDOVAC · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Jedinstvo U. (H) 42.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Vozdovac (A) 32.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jedinstvo U. face Vozdovac in Serbia - Prva Liga on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jedinstvo U. a 43% chance, the draw 25% and Vozdovac 33%, so Jedinstvo U. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Jedinstvo U. and 1.4 for Vozdovac (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jedinstvo U. are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.80 for Vozdovac. This match finished 1-5.

Jedinstvo U. vs Vozdovac Prediction— Serbia - Prva Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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