Today / England - Non League Premier - Southern Central / Worcester City vs Stamford

Worcester City vs Stamford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Worcester City

PPG 1.49 · HOME

LAST 5

LLWDL

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Stamford

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLLL 

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.7%0-23.0%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.8%1-111.3%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.9%2-19.6%2-24.3%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.2%3-15.5%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.4%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% — — —

Draw 24.3% — — —

Away win 23.4% — — —

Over 2.5 52.2% — — —

Over 3.5 30.9% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 22.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–0✓ 12.8%

#3 2–0 10.9%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Worcester City1.7

Stamford0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.2% · O3.5 PROB 30.9%

Form & verdict PPG

WORCESTER CITY · PPG 1.49

STAMFORD · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.81 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Worcester City (H) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stamford (A) 23.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Worcester City face Stamford in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Worcester City a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Stamford 23%, so Worcester City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Worcester City and 0.9 for Stamford (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Worcester City are averaging 1.49 points per game versus 0.80 for Stamford. This match finished 1-0.

Worcester City vs Stamford Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

More England - Non League Premier - Southern Central Predictions