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Redditch United vs Bromsgrove Sporting Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Redditch United

PPG 1.74 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLW

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bromsgrove Sporting

PPG 1.48 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-17.1%0-24.4%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-09.3%1-111.5%1-27.1%1-32.9%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.6%2-19.3%2-25.8%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-04.1%3-15.1%3-23.1%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-13.0%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 29.4% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 47.4% — — —

Away O1.5 37.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 2–1 9.3%

#3 1–0 9.3%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 1–2✓ 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Redditch United1.6

Bromsgrove Sporting1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

REDDITCH UNITED · PPG 1.74

BROMSGROVE SPORTING · PPG 1.48

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.39 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Redditch United (H) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bromsgrove Sporting (A) 29.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Redditch United face Bromsgrove Sporting in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Redditch United a 46% chance, the draw 25% and Bromsgrove Sporting 29%, so Redditch United are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Redditch United and 1.2 for Bromsgrove Sporting (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Redditch United are averaging 1.74 points per game versus 1.48 for Bromsgrove Sporting. This match finished 1-2.

Redditch United vs Bromsgrove Sporting Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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