Today / England - Non League Premier - Southern Central / Real Bedford vs Stratford Town

Real Bedford vs Stratford Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Real Bedford

PPG 2.02 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWW

6 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Stratford Town

PPG 1.27 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLLD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.0%0-13.9%0-21.9%0-30.6%0-4+0.2%1 1-08.9%1-18.8%1-24.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.9%2-19.8%2-24.9%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-07.4%3-17.3%3-23.6%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-16.9%4+-23.4%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.4% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 62.6% — — —

Over 3.5 39.4% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 29.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.8%

#2 2–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 9.8%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 3–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Real Bedford2.2

Stratford Town1.0

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.6% · O3.5 PROB 39.4%

Form & verdict PPG

REAL BEDFORD · PPG 2.02

STRATFORD TOWN · PPG 1.27

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.25 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Real Bedford (H) 57.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Stratford Town (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Real Bedford face Stratford Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Real Bedford a 57% chance, the draw 21% and Stratford Town 21%, so Real Bedford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Real Bedford and 1.0 for Stratford Town (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 63% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Real Bedford are averaging 2.02 points per game versus 1.27 for Stratford Town. This match finished 6-1.

Real Bedford vs Stratford Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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