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Needham Market vs Halesowen Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Saturday, August 22, 2026, 14:00

Needham Market

PPG 1.55 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLWD

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Halesowen Town

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWWLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-17.8%0-25.5%0-32.6%0-4+1.3%1 1-08.2%1-111.6%1-28.2%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-18.6%2-26.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.0%3-14.3%3-23.0%3-31.4%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% — — —

Draw 25.0% — — —

Away win 35.7% — — —

Over 2.5 53.9% — — —

Over 3.5 31.6% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 40.0% — — —

Away O1.5 41.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 3.2%

Bet Hit 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.2%

#4 1–0 8.2%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Needham Market1.5

Halesowen Town1.4

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 31.6%

Form & verdict PPG

NEEDHAM MARKET · PPG 1.55

HALESOWEN TOWN · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Needham Market (H) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Halesowen Town (A) 35.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Needham Market face Halesowen Town in England - Non League Premier - Southern Central on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Needham Market a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Halesowen Town 36%, so Needham Market are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Needham Market and 1.4 for Halesowen Town (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Needham Market are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.13 for Halesowen Town. This match finished 0-1.

Needham Market vs Halesowen Town Prediction— England - Non League Premier - Southern Central

Match Preview & Prediction

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