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Venda FC vs Milford Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Regular Season - 26 ·Wednesday, April 22, 2026, 13:00

Venda FC

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

Milford

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.8%0-113.2%0-25.9%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.1%1-113.4%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-07.7%2-16.9%2-23.1%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.6%3-12.3%3-21.0%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.7%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 37.6% — — —

Draw 31.6% — — —

Away win 30.8% — — —

Over 2.5 29.9% — — —

Over 3.5 12.7% — — —

BTTS 37.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 60%

ROI 19.5%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob37.7%

D 32% / xG 1.0-0.9 / U2.5 30% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 15.1%

#2 0–0 14.8%

#3 1–1 13.4%

#4 0–1 13.2%

#5 2–0 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Venda FC1.0

Milford0.9

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 29.9% · O3.5 PROB 12.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VENDA FC · PPG 1.33

MILFORD · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.25)

Win probability 1X2

Venda FC (H) 37.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Milford (A) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Venda FC face Milford in South-Africa - 1st Division on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Venda FC a 38% chance, the draw 32% and Milford 31%, so Venda FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Venda FC and 0.9 for Milford (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Venda FC are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.25 for Milford. This match finished 1-0.

Venda FC vs Milford Prediction— South-Africa - 1st Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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