Today / Hungry Lions vs Pretoria U.

Hungry Lions vs Pretoria U. Prediction

Wednesday, April 22, 2026

Hungry Lions

PPG 2.08 · HOME

4 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Pretoria U.

PPG 0.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.08), Away POOR (0.92) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-13.5%0-21.0%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.3%1-17.7%1-22.1%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-015.6%2-18.5%2-22.3%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.4%3-16.2%3-21.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.4%4+-15.6%4+-21.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 75.5% — — —

Draw 16.8% — — —

Away win 7.7% — — —

Over 2.5 51.4% — — —

Over 3.5 29.3% — — —

BTTS 37.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob37.1%

H 76% / xG 2.2-0.5 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 37%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 15.6%

#2 1–0 14.3%

#3 3–0 11.4%

#4 2–1 8.5%

#5 1–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hungry Lions2.2

Pretoria U.0.5

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.4% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

HUNGRY LIONS · PPG 2.08

PRETORIA U. · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.08), Away POOR (0.92) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Hungry Lions (H) 75.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Pretoria U. (A) 7.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hungry Lions face Pretoria U. on Wednesday, April 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hungry Lions a 76% chance, the draw 17% and Pretoria U. 8%, so Hungry Lions are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Hungry Lions and 0.5 for Pretoria U. (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hungry Lions are averaging 2.08 points per game versus 0.92 for Pretoria U.. This match finished 4-2.

Hungry Lions vs Pretoria U. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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