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Serbia - Prva Liga logo Serbia flag Serbia - Prva Liga Championship Group - 32 Zemun Stadium· Belgrade Wednesday, April 22, 2026 13:00
Zemun logo Zemun PPG 2.38
2-0 HIT CS2
Macva Sabac logo Macva Sabac PPG 1.40
Home· +36.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 60.8%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +36.8%
Draw 23.3%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -27.8%
Away 15.9%
Odds: 2.88 EV: -54.2%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 24.0% Odds: —
BTTS 43.6% Odds: 2.05 -10.6%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Zemun
1.73
Macva Sabac
0.76

Model Suggestion

Home +36.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 37%
O2.5/Under 52%
BTTS/No 59%
Score Hit 44%
ROI -12.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.38) vs P(Home)=60.8%

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