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Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 logo Georgia flag Georgia - Erovnuli Liga 2 Regular Season - 8 Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava· Martvili Wednesday, April 22, 2026 12:00
Merani Martvili logo Merani Martvili PPG 1.75
2-1 HIT CS2
Bolnisi logo Bolnisi PPG 0.67
Home· +31.6% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.2%
Odds: 2.05 EV: +31.6%
Draw 19.6%
Odds: 3.30 EV: -35.3%
Away 16.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -49.8%
Model lean: Home
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.3% Odds: —
Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: —
BTTS 55.9% Odds: 1.70 -5.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 1-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Merani Martvili
2.17
Bolnisi
1.00

Model Suggestion

Home +31.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 43%
Score Hit 57%
ROI 50.7%
Bet Hit 71% (7 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=64.2%

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