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VV Scherpenzeel vs Hoogeveen Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie

Matchday 2 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 13:00

VV Scherpenzeel

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

LWW ··

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Hoogeveen

PPG 1.25 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLL ··

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +0.63 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-13.3%0-22.7%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.6%1-17.5%1-26.1%1-33.3%1-4+2.0%2 2-05.2%2-18.5%2-26.9%2-33.8%2-4+2.2%3 3-03.9%3-16.4%3-25.2%3-32.8%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-16.2%4+-25.0%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 29.6% — — —

Over 2.5 64.9% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 65.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 11 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%

O2.5 82%

BTTS 73%

Score Hit 27%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.5%

#2 2–1✓ 8.5%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VV Scherpenzeel2.3

Hoogeveen1.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.9% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VV SCHERPENZEEL · PPG 1.71

HOOGEVEEN · PPG 1.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.63 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

VV Scherpenzeel (H) 47.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hoogeveen (A) 29.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VV Scherpenzeel face Hoogeveen in Netherlands - Derde Divisie on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VV Scherpenzeel a 48% chance, the draw 23% and Hoogeveen 30%, so VV Scherpenzeel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for VV Scherpenzeel and 1.6 for Hoogeveen (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VV Scherpenzeel are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.25 for Hoogeveen. This match finished 2-1.

VV Scherpenzeel vs Hoogeveen Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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