Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings

Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:30

Cheonan City

PPG 1.20 · HOME

LAST 5

DLDLL

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Suwon Bluewings

PPG 1.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWDWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.0% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-113.3%0-29.0%0-34.0%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.6%1-112.9%1-28.7%1-33.9%1-4+1.8%2 2-04.6%2-16.2%2-24.2%2-31.9%2-4+0.8%3 3-01.5%3-12.0%3-21.4%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.2% 22.2% 4.50 +35.9%

Draw 26.4% 25.6% 3.90 +1.8%

Away win 43.4% 61.0% 1.64 -28.8%

Over 2.5 50.2% 60.6% 1.65 -17.2%

Over 3.5 28.4% 38.2% 2.62 -15.4%

BTTS 53.0% 60.6% 1.65 -12.6%

Home O1.5 30.6% 32.3% 3.10 -5.1%

Away O1.5 41.2% 61.7% 1.62 -33.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob53.0%

A 43% / xG 1.0-1.3 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–1✓ 13.3%

#3 0–0 9.9%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 0–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cheonan City1.0

Suwon Bluewings1.3

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHEONAN CITY · PPG 1.20

SUWON BLUEWINGS · PPG 1.90

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.38, combined xG 2.31 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Cheonan City (H) 30.2%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +35.9%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV +1.8%

Suwon Bluewings (A) 43.4%

ODDS 1.64 · IMPLIED 61.0% EV -28.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheonan City face Suwon Bluewings in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheonan City a 30% chance, the draw 26% and Suwon Bluewings 43%, so Suwon Bluewings are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cheonan City and 1.3 for Suwon Bluewings (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheonan City are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.90 for Suwon Bluewings. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +4.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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