Today / South Korea - K League 2 / Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam FC

Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Matchday 23 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 10:30

Ansan Greeners

PPG 0.67 · HOME

LAST 5

DDLLL

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Seongnam FC

PPG 0.90 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.7% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.1%0-111.3%0-27.9%0-33.7%0-4+1.7%1 1-09.1%1-112.6%1-28.8%1-34.1%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.1%2-17.1%2-24.9%2-32.3%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.9%3-12.6%3-21.8%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-10.9%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 33.1% 22.7% 4.40 +45.6%

Draw 25.7% 28.2% 3.55 -5.3%

Away win 41.3% 57.8% 1.73 -28.5%

Over 2.5 53.7% 51.3% 1.95 +4.7%

Over 3.5 31.0% 29.4% 3.40 +5.4%

BTTS 54.7% 55.6% 1.80 -1.5%

Home O1.5 30.6% 27.4% 3.65 +11.7%

Away O1.5 41.2% 54.1% 1.85 -23.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 67 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 45%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -25.4%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob54.7%

A 41% / xG 1.1-1.4 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 0–1 11.3%

#3 1–2✓ 8.8%

#4 0–0 8.1%

#5 1–0 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ansan Greeners1.1

Seongnam FC1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ANSAN GREENERS · PPG 0.67

SEONGNAM FC · PPG 0.90

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.28 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Ansan Greeners (H) 33.1%

ODDS 4.40 · IMPLIED 22.7% EV +45.6%

Draw 25.7%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -5.3%

Seongnam FC (A) 41.3%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ansan Greeners face Seongnam FC in South Korea - K League 2 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ansan Greeners a 33% chance, the draw 26% and Seongnam FC 41%, so Seongnam FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Ansan Greeners and 1.4 for Seongnam FC (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ansan Greeners are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.90 for Seongnam FC. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +32.7%. This match finished 1-2.

Ansan Greeners vs Seongnam FC Prediction— South Korea - K League 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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