Libertad vs Guayaquil City Prediction— Ecuador - Liga Pro

Match Preview & Prediction

Libertad face Guayaquil City in Ecuador - Liga Pro on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Libertad a 62% chance, the draw 25% and Guayaquil City 14%, so Libertad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Libertad and 0.6 for Guayaquil City (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 35% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Libertad are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.20 for Guayaquil City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +28.1%. This match finished 0-1.