Real Madrid vs Alaves Prediction & Tips

Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 33 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu· Madrid Tuesday, April 21, 2026 19:30

Real Madrid PPG 2.50

2-1 HIT CS5

Alaves PPG 0.75

Over3.5· +18.2% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95% confidence

Home 87.5%

Odds: 1.25 EV: +9.4%

Draw 8.6%

Odds: 5.90 EV: -49.3%

Away 3.9%

Odds: 10.00 EV: -61.0%

Model lean: Home

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 76.0% Odds: 1.45 +10.2%

Over 3.5 56.3% Odds: 2.10 +18.2%

BTTS 45.8% Odds: 1.80 -17.6%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

1st 3-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 4-0 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✔

Real Madrid

3.34

Alaves

0.64

Model SuggestionHome +9.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+18.2%)

✓ SOLID - Strong home form

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.50), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus