Today / Australia - Western Australia State League 1 / Quinns FC vs Kingsley Westside

Quinns FC vs Kingsley Westside Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Matchday 22 ·Saturday, August 22, 2026, 07:00

Quinns FC logo
Quinns FC
PPG 1.78 · HOME
LAST 5
WWWWW
3 – 1
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS
Kingsley Westside logo
Kingsley Westside
PPG 1.20 · AWAY
LAST 5
LWLLL

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-16.7%0-24.7%0-32.2%0-4+1.0%1 1-07.8%1-111.0%1-27.7%1-33.6%1-4+1.7%2 2-06.4%2-19.0%2-26.3%2-33.0%2-4+1.4%3 3-03.5%3-14.9%3-23.5%3-31.6%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-02.1%4+-12.9%4+-22.1%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.6%
Draw 24.2%
Away win 29.2%
Over 2.5 59.8%
Over 3.5 36.6%
BTTS 61.3%
Home O1.5 47.4%
Away O1.5 41.2%

League track record

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 65%
BTTS 61%
Score Hit 44%
ROI 11.0%
Bet Hit 75%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%
#2 2–1 9.0%
#3 1–2 7.7%
#4 2–0 6.4%
#5 1–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quinns FC1.6
Kingsley Westside1.4

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 36.6%

Form & verdict PPG

QUINNS FC · PPG 1.78

KINGSLEY WESTSIDE · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Quinns FC (H) 46.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kingsley Westside (A) 29.2%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quinns FC face Kingsley Westside in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, August 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quinns FC a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Kingsley Westside 29%, so Quinns FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Quinns FC and 1.4 for Kingsley Westside (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quinns FC are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.20 for Kingsley Westside. This match finished 3-1.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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