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Zamalek SC vs Al Ittihad Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 17:00

Zamalek SC

PPG 1.96 · HOME

LAST 5

DWW ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Al Ittihad

PPG 0.99 · AWAY

LAST 5

DL ···

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 52.0% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-18.2%0-22.7%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.5%1-111.7%1-23.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.5%2-18.4%2-22.8%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-06.0%3-14.0%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.0% 65.4% 1.53 -20.4%

Draw 26.3% 28.2% 3.55 -4.0%

Away win 21.7% 15.4% 6.50 +24.6%

Over 2.5 42.9% 43.5% 2.30 -1.3%

Over 3.5 21.4% 22.2% 4.50 -2.2%

BTTS 47.6% 43.5% 2.30 +9.5%

Home O1.5 40.0% 52.6% 1.90 -24.0%

Away O1.5 17.9% 17.4% 5.75 +1.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 38%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.5%

#2 2–0 12.5%

#3 0–0✓ 12.2%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 0–1 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Zamalek SC1.4

Al Ittihad0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.9% · O3.5 PROB 21.4%

Form & verdict PPG

ZAMALEK SC · PPG 1.96

AL ITTIHAD · PPG 0.99

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.76 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Zamalek SC (H) 52.0%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -20.4%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -4.0%

Al Ittihad (A) 21.7%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +24.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Zamalek SC face Al Ittihad in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Zamalek SC a 52% chance, the draw 26% and Al Ittihad 22%, so Zamalek SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Zamalek SC and 0.7 for Al Ittihad (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Zamalek SC are averaging 1.96 points per game versus 0.99 for Al Ittihad. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +27.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Zamalek SC vs Al Ittihad Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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