Today / Egypt - Premier League / Wadi Degla vs Masr

Wadi Degla vs Masr Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Matchday 1 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 14:00

Wadi Degla

PPG 1.56 · HOME

LAST 5

DWD ··

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Masr

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-111.0%0-25.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.3%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.2%2-18.0%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.3%3-13.2%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.8% 45.5% 2.20 -3.6%

Draw 27.5% 34.0% 2.94 -11.5%

Away win 28.6% 29.4% 3.40 -1.7%

Over 2.5 44.8% 41.7% 2.40 +7.5%

Over 3.5 25.6% 22.2% 4.50 +9.1%

BTTS 49.1% 51.3% 1.95 -4.3%

Home O1.5 32.6% 39.2% 2.55 -16.9%

Away O1.5 27.6% 28.2% 3.55 -1.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -0.5%

Bet Hit 46%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.1%

H 44% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 45% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.6%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 0–0✓ 11.2%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wadi Degla1.2

Masr1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 25.6%

Form & verdict PPG

WADI DEGLA · PPG 1.56

MASR · PPG 1.36

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.24, combined xG 2.19 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Wadi Degla (H) 43.8%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -3.6%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 2.94 · IMPLIED 34.0% EV -11.5%

Masr (A) 28.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -1.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wadi Degla face Masr in Egypt - Premier League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wadi Degla a 44% chance, the draw 28% and Masr 29%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Wadi Degla and 1.0 for Masr (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wadi Degla are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.36 for Masr. The best value bet our model finds is BTTS/O25, with an expected value of +14.3%. This match finished 0-0.

Wadi Degla vs Masr Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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