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Brooklyn W vs DC Power W Prediction— USA - USL Super League

Friday, August 21, 2026, 23:30

Brooklyn W
PPG 1.27 · HOME
LAST 5
LLL ··
1 – 4
FULL TIME
DC Power W
PPG 1.50 · AWAY
LAST 5
LWW ··

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.5%0-111.9%0-28.3%0-33.9%0-4+1.8%1 1-09.1%1-112.7%1-28.9%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.9%2-16.8%2-24.7%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.7%3-12.4%3-21.7%3-30.8%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.8%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.8%
Draw 30.6%
Away win 41.6%
Over 2.5 44.8%
Over 3.5 28.1%
BTTS 49.1%
Home O1.5 30.6%
Away O1.5 41.2%

League track record

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%
O2.5 59%
BTTS 52%
Score Hit 41%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%
#2 0–0 8.5%
#3 0–1 11.9%
#4 1–2 8.9%
#5 0–2 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brooklyn W1.1
DC Power W1.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 44.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

BROOKLYN W · PPG 1.27

DC POWER W · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...
45%
HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.33, combined xG 2.46 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Brooklyn W (H) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
DC Power W (A) 41.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brooklyn W face DC Power W in USA - USL Super League on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brooklyn W a 28% chance, the draw 31% and DC Power W 42%, so DC Power W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Brooklyn W and 1.4 for DC Power W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brooklyn W are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.50 for DC Power W. This match finished 1-4.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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