Bradford vs Plymouth Prediction— England - League One

England - League One Regular Season - 40 Valley Parade· Bradford Tuesday, April 21, 2026 18:45

Bradford PPG 2.29

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

Plymouth PPG 1.67

Home· +29.1% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Bradford face Plymouth in England - League One on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bradford a 53% chance, the draw 24% and Plymouth 24%, so Bradford are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Bradford and 1.1 for Plymouth (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bradford are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.67 for Plymouth. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +29.1%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.7%

Odds: 2.45 EV: +29.1%

Draw 23.5%

Odds: 3.40 EV: -20.1%

Away 23.8%

Odds: 2.72 EV: -35.3%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 54.7% Odds: 1.85 +1.2%

Over 3.5 32.4% Odds: 3.20 +3.7%

BTTS 55.5% Odds: 1.67 -7.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Bradford

1.76

Plymouth

1.11

Model SuggestionBTTS -7.3% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 51 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 35%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -55.8%

Bet Hit 26% (23 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.29) > Away GOOD (1.67)