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SOL DE America vs Resistencia Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Matchday 20 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 21:30

SOL DE America

PPG 1.44 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDDW

0 – 0

FULL TIME

Resistencia

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWDL

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.9%0-110.3%0-23.6%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-018.0%1-112.5%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.9%2-17.6%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.4%3-13.1%3-21.1%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.2%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 43.5% 2.30 +9.0%

Draw 28.2% 34.5% 2.90 -10.9%

Away win 24.3% 33.3% 3.00 -16.3%

Over 2.5 42.7% 45.5% 2.20 -6.1%

Over 3.5 20.6% 22.2% 4.50 -4.4%

BTTS 47.6% 51.3% 1.95 -7.2%

Home O1.5 32.6% 42.2% 2.37 -22.7%

Away O1.5 17.9% 34.5% 2.90 -28.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 54%

ROI -43.1%

Bet Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.6%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 18.0%

#2 0–0✓ 14.9%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 2–0 10.9%

#5 0–1 10.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SOL DE America1.2

Resistencia0.7

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SOL DE AMERICA · PPG 1.44

RESISTENCIA · PPG 1.11

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

SOL DE America (H) 47.4%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +9.0%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.9%

Resistencia (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -16.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

SOL DE America face Resistencia in Paraguay - Division Intermedia on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SOL DE America a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Resistencia 24%, so SOL DE America are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for SOL DE America and 0.7 for Resistencia (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SOL DE America are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.11 for Resistencia. This match finished 0-0.

SOL DE America vs Resistencia Prediction— Paraguay - Division Intermedia

Match Preview & Prediction

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