Velez Mostar vs Siroki Brijeg Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

Velez Mostar face Siroki Brijeg in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Velez Mostar a 62% chance, the draw 26% and Siroki Brijeg 12%, so Velez Mostar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Velez Mostar and 0.5 for Siroki Brijeg (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 29% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Velez Mostar are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.93 for Siroki Brijeg. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +0.8%. This match finished 3-0.