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R. Bijeljina vs Zrinjski Mostar Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:30

R. Bijeljina

PPG 1.56 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Zrinjski Mostar

PPG 1.94 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.9%0-118.9%0-210.0%0-33.5%0-4+1.2%1 1-011.8%1-112.5%1-26.6%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-03.9%2-14.2%2-22.2%2-30.8%2-4+0.3%3 3-00.9%3-10.9%3-20.5%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.6% 34.5% 2.90 -18.9%

Draw 34.5% 32.3% 3.10 +7.0%

Away win 41.9% 43.5% 2.30 -3.6%

Over 2.5 35.1% 43.5% 2.30 -19.3%

Over 3.5 9.7% 23.1% 4.33 -34.8%

BTTS 45.9% 51.3% 1.95 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 37%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob45.9%

A 42% / xG 0.7-1.1 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.9%

#2 0–1✓ 18.9%

#3 1–1 12.5%

#4 0–2 10.0%

#5 1–0 11.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

R. Bijeljina0.7

Zrinjski Mostar1.1

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.1% · O3.5 PROB 9.7%

Form & verdict PPG

R. BIJELJINA · PPG 1.56

ZRINJSKI MOSTAR · PPG 1.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: GOOD (1.56) vs Away GOOD (1.94)

Win probability 1X2

R. Bijeljina (H) 23.6%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -18.9%

Draw 34.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +7.0%

Zrinjski Mostar (A) 41.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -3.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

R. Bijeljina face Zrinjski Mostar in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Bijeljina a 24% chance, the draw 35% and Zrinjski Mostar 42%, so Zrinjski Mostar are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for R. Bijeljina and 1.1 for Zrinjski Mostar (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Bijeljina are averaging 1.56 points per game versus 1.94 for Zrinjski Mostar. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +7.0%. This match finished 0-1.

R. Bijeljina vs Zrinjski Mostar Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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