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Kattaqurgon vs Gazalkent Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 16 ·Friday, August 21, 2026, 14:00

Kattaqurgon

PPG 2.29 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLL

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Gazalkent

PPG 2.43 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLWL

// Model verdict

BTTS 53% chance

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.8%0-110.7%0-25.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.4%1-113.2%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.3%2-18.2%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.4%3-13.4%3-21.7%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.4%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.7% — — —

Draw 26.6% — — —

Away win 34.7% — — —

Over 2.5 50.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 53.0% — — —

Home O1.5 34.0% — — —

Away O1.5 29.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 1–0 13.4%

#3 0–1 10.7%

#4 0–0 10.8%

#5 1–2 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kattaqurgon1.2

Gazalkent1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KATTAQURGON · PPG 2.29

GAZALKENT · PPG 2.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

Chance this pick lands

53%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.25, combined xG 2.23 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Kattaqurgon (H) 38.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Gazalkent (A) 34.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kattaqurgon face Gazalkent in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Friday, August 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kattaqurgon a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Gazalkent 35%, so Kattaqurgon are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kattaqurgon and 1.0 for Gazalkent (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kattaqurgon are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 2.43 for Gazalkent. This match finished 2-4.

Kattaqurgon vs Gazalkent Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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