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Dinamo Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Matchday 18 ·Thursday, August 20, 2026, 15:45

Dinamo Minsk

PPG 1.83 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWLL

4 – 0

FULL TIME

Torpedo Zhodino

PPG 1.83 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLLDW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-19.1%0-25.2%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.9%1-112.6%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.6%2-18.8%2-25.0%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.5%3-14.1%3-22.3%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.9%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.2% 57.8% 1.73 -18.3%

Draw 24.5% 32.3% 3.10 -14.4%

Away win 28.3% 21.1% 4.75 +20.7%

Over 2.5 50.2% 46.3% 2.16 +8.4%

Over 3.5 28.5% 26.5% 3.78 +4.6%

BTTS 53.0% 48.8% 2.05 +8.6%

Home O1.5 38.9% 50.0% 2.00 -22.2%

Away O1.5 35.6% 22.0% 4.55 +62.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 43%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -48.9%

Bet Hit 27%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob53.0%

H 47% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 10.9%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 2–0 7.6%

#5 0–0 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dinamo Minsk1.4

Torpedo Zhodino1.2

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

DINAMO MINSK · PPG 1.83

TORPEDO ZHODINO · PPG 1.83

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.24 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Dinamo Minsk (H) 47.2%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -18.3%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.4%

Torpedo Zhodino (A) 28.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +20.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dinamo Minsk face Torpedo Zhodino in Belarus - Vysshaya Liga on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dinamo Minsk a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Torpedo Zhodino 28%, so Dinamo Minsk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Dinamo Minsk and 1.2 for Torpedo Zhodino (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dinamo Minsk are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.83 for Torpedo Zhodino. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +62.0%. This match finished 4-0.

Dinamo Minsk vs Torpedo Zhodino Prediction— Belarus - Vysshaya Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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