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Lochin vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Matchday 16 ·Thursday, August 20, 2026, 12:00

Lochin

PPG 1.71 · HOME

LAST 5

DWLWW

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Jayxun

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDLW

// Model verdict

Home 53% chance

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.2%0-22.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.3%1-110.9%1-24.5%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.7%2-19.6%2-24.0%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.9%3-15.7%3-22.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-13.7%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.2% — — —

Draw 24.7% — — —

Away win 22.2% — — —

Over 2.5 50.2% — — —

Over 3.5 29.2% — — —

BTTS 51.5% — — —

Home O1.5 48.8% — — —

Away O1.5 22.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -100.0%

Bet Hit 0%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–0 11.7%

#3 1–0✓ 13.3%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lochin1.8

Jayxun0.8

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.2% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

LOCHIN · PPG 1.71

JAYXUN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

53%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.94 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Lochin (H) 53.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jayxun (A) 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lochin face Jayxun in Uzbekistan - Pro League A on Thursday, August 20, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lochin a 53% chance, the draw 25% and Jayxun 22%, so Lochin are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Lochin and 0.8 for Jayxun (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lochin are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.00 for Jayxun. This match finished 1-0.

Lochin vs Jayxun Prediction— Uzbekistan - Pro League A

Match Preview & Prediction

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