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Spain - La Liga logo Spain flag Spain - La Liga Regular Season - 33 Estadi Mallorca Son Moix· Palma de Mallorca Tuesday, April 21, 2026 17:00
Mallorca logo Mallorca PPG 1.75
1-1 HIT CS3
Valencia logo Valencia PPG 0.75
Home· +50.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.3%
Odds: 2.46 EV: +50.8%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 3.15 EV: -34.5%
Away 17.9%
Odds: 2.90 EV: -48.1%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 58.7% Odds: 2.15 +26.2%
Over 3.5 36.4% Odds: 3.95 +43.8%
BTTS 55.2% Odds: 1.85 +2.1%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 2-0
3rd 1-1
4th 1-0
5th 3-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Mallorca
2.04
Valencia
1.01

Model Suggestion

Home +50.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=61.3%

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