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Mash'al vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Matchday 18 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 15:00

Mash'al

PPG 0.50 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLL 

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Andijan

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

LAST 5

DLLWW

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-117.9%0-212.7%0-36.0%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.3%1-111.7%1-28.3%1-33.9%1-4+1.9%2 2-02.7%2-13.8%2-22.7%2-31.3%2-4+0.6%3 3-00.6%3-10.8%3-20.6%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.1% 34.5% 2.90 -18.1%

Draw 26.3% 35.7% 2.80 -15.8%

Away win 49.6% 43.5% 2.30 +14.1%

Over 2.5 42.7% 45.5% 2.20 -6.1%

Over 3.5 20.6% 26.0% 3.85 -12.4%

BTTS 47.6% 50.0% 2.00 -4.8%

Home O1.5 30.6% 24.4% 4.10 +25.5%

Away O1.5 41.2% 49.5% 2.02 -16.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 53%

ROI 4.6%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob47.6%

A 50% / xG 0.7-1.4 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 17.9%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 0–2 12.7%

#4 1–1 11.7%

#5 1–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mash'al0.7

Andijan1.4

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 20.6%

Form & verdict PPG

MASH'AL · PPG 0.50

ANDIJAN · PPG 1.00

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

xG gap -0.76 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Mash'al (H) 24.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -18.1%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -15.8%

Andijan (A) 49.6%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +14.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mash'al face Andijan in Uzbekistan - Super League on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mash'al a 24% chance, the draw 26% and Andijan 50%, so Andijan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Mash'al and 1.4 for Andijan (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mash'al are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 1.00 for Andijan. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +25.5%. This match finished 0-1.

Mash'al vs Andijan Prediction— Uzbekistan - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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