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Goias vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 23 ·Wednesday, August 19, 2026, 00:35

Goias

PPG 1.90 · HOME

LAST 5

WLLDW

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Juventude

PPG 1.20 · AWAY

LAST 5

WDWWD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.8%0-116.2%0-27.4%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.5%1-113.2%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.9%2-15.4%2-22.5%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.6%3-11.5%3-20.7%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 29.7% 45.9% 2.18 -21.1%

Draw 34.6% 35.1% 2.85 -1.4%

Away win 35.7% 26.0% 3.85 +37.4%

Over 2.5 34.5% 37.0% 2.70 -6.9%

Over 3.5 18.2% 18.2% 5.50 +0.1%

BTTS 43.6% 47.6% 2.10 -8.4%

Home O1.5 30.6% 37.7% 2.65 -18.9%

Away O1.5 23.3% 25.0% 4.00 -4.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 171 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 55%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 18.7%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob43.6%

D 35% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.8%

#2 0–1✓ 16.2%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 1–0 14.5%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goias0.8

Juventude0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.5% · O3.5 PROB 18.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GOIAS · PPG 1.90

JUVENTUDE · PPG 1.20

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.10, combined xG 1.73 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Goias (H) 29.7%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -21.1%

Draw 34.6%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV -1.4%

Juventude (A) 35.7%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +37.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Goias face Juventude in Brazil - Serie B on Wednesday, August 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goias a 30% chance, the draw 35% and Juventude 36%, so Juventude are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Goias and 0.9 for Juventude (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goias are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.20 for Juventude. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +8.4%. This match finished 0-1.

Goias vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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