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Rudar Prijedor vs Zeljeznicar Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Regular Season - 30 ·Tuesday, April 21, 2026, 16:00

Rudar Prijedor

PPG 1.07 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Zeljeznicar

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-111.9%0-24.9%0-31.4%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.0%1-113.2%1-25.5%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-08.9%2-17.4%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.3%3-12.7%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.1% 40.0% 2.50 +5.3%

Draw 31.0% 37.0% 2.70 -16.3%

Away win 27.0% 34.5% 2.90 -21.7%

Over 2.5 30.7% — — —

Over 3.5 13.2% — — —

BTTS 37.7% 48.8% 2.05 -22.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 57%

ROI -11.0%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob37.7%

H 42% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 38%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 16.0%

#2 0–0 14.4%

#3 1–1 13.2%

#4 0–1✓ 11.9%

#5 2–0 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rudar Prijedor1.1

Zeljeznicar0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 30.7% · O3.5 PROB 13.2%

Form & verdict PPG

RUDAR PRIJEDOR · PPG 1.07

ZELJEZNICAR · PPG 1.07

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.07)

Win probability 1X2

Rudar Prijedor (H) 42.1%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV +5.3%

Draw 31.0%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -16.3%

Zeljeznicar (A) 27.0%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -21.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rudar Prijedor face Zeljeznicar in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Tuesday, April 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rudar Prijedor a 42% chance, the draw 31% and Zeljeznicar 27%, so Rudar Prijedor are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Rudar Prijedor and 0.8 for Zeljeznicar (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rudar Prijedor are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.07 for Zeljeznicar. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 0-1.

Rudar Prijedor vs Zeljeznicar Prediction— Bosnia - Premijer Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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