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Tauro FC vs CD Arabe Unido Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura · Matchday 4 ·Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 01:00

Tauro FC

PPG 1.40 · HOME

UPCOMING

CD Arabe Unido

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-19.6%0-23.4%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.4%1-112.4%1-24.4%1-31.1%1-4+0.2%2 2-011.2%2-18.0%2-22.8%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-04.8%3-13.4%3-21.2%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-11.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 42.4% 2.36 +16.8%

Draw 27.8% 32.3% 3.10 -8.3%

Away win 22.7% 34.2% 2.92 -20.2%

Over 2.5 42.7% 45.5% 2.20 -6.1%

Over 3.5 21.1% 23.8% 4.20 -6.8%

BTTS 47.7% 54.1% 1.85 -11.8%

Home O1.5 37.9% 39.2% 2.55 -3.4%

Away O1.5 17.2% 33.3% 3.00 -29.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 57%

BTTS 52%

Score Hit 62%

ROI 42.3%

Bet Hit 71%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 37%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob47.7%

H 50% / xG 1.3-0.7 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 17.4%

#2 0–0 13.5%

#3 1–1 12.4%

#4 2–0 11.2%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Tauro FC1.3

CD Arabe Unido0.7

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

TAURO FC · PPG 1.40

CD ARABE UNIDO · PPG 0.89

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Tauro FC (H) 49.5%

ODDS 2.36 · IMPLIED 42.4% EV +16.8%

Draw 27.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -8.3%

CD Arabe Unido (A) 22.7%

ODDS 2.92 · IMPLIED 34.2% EV -20.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Tauro FC face CD Arabe Unido in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Tuesday, August 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Tauro FC a 50% chance, the draw 28% and CD Arabe Unido 23%, so Tauro FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Tauro FC and 0.7 for CD Arabe Unido (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Tauro FC are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.89 for CD Arabe Unido. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +5.5%.

Tauro FC vs CD Arabe Unido Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

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