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Deportivo Universitario vs Union Cocle Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Apertura · Matchday 4 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 23:15

Deportivo Universitario

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Union Cocle

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.7%0-113.6%0-27.3%0-32.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.6%1-113.5%1-27.2%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-06.2%2-16.7%2-23.6%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.1%3-12.2%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.7%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.8% — — —

Draw 30.4% — — —

Away win 33.8% — — —

Over 2.5 42.7% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 33.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 28%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 61%

ROI 66.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob47.7%

D 30% / xG 1.0-1.1 / U2.5 43% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.7%

#3 0–1 13.6%

#4 1–0 12.6%

#5 0–2 7.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Universitario1.0

Union Cocle1.1

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.7% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO UNIVERSITARIO · PPG 1.00

UNION COCLE · PPG 1.11

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.08, combined xG 2.06 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Universitario (H) 35.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 30.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Union Cocle (A) 33.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Universitario face Union Cocle in Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Universitario a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Union Cocle 34%, so Deportivo Universitario are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Deportivo Universitario and 1.1 for Union Cocle (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Universitario are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.11 for Union Cocle.

Deportivo Universitario vs Union Cocle Prediction— Panama - Liga Panameña de Fútbol

Match Preview & Prediction

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