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Centro Español vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 24 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 18:00

Centro Español

PPG 1.36 · HOME

UPCOMING

Central Cordoba

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.3%0-111.6%0-24.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.2%1-113.2%1-25.3%1-31.4%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.2%2-17.5%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.5%3-12.8%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-11.0%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 40.7% 44.4% 2.25 -8.4%

Draw 29.1% 33.3% 3.00 -7.6%

Away win 30.2% 32.3% 3.10 -6.4%

Over 2.5 41.3% 41.7% 2.40 -0.9%

Over 3.5 21.1% 22.2% 4.50 -3.0%

BTTS 47.7% 50.0% 2.00 -4.6%

Home O1.5 30.2% 39.2% 2.55 -23.0%

Away O1.5 21.1% 30.8% 3.25 -18.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -68.8%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 41% / xG 1.1-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.3%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 1–0 16.2%

#4 0–1 11.6%

#5 2–0 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Centro Español1.1

Central Cordoba0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.3% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRO ESPAÑOL · PPG 1.36

CENTRAL CORDOBA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.32, combined xG 1.95 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Centro Español (H) 40.7%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -8.4%

Draw 29.1%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -7.6%

Central Cordoba (A) 30.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Centro Español face Central Cordoba in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Centro Español a 41% chance, the draw 29% and Central Cordoba 30%, so Centro Español are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Centro Español and 0.8 for Central Cordoba (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Centro Español are averaging 1.36 points per game versus 1.33 for Central Cordoba. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +3.2%.

Centro Español vs Central Cordoba Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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