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Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 24 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 18:00

Leones de Rosario

PPG 1.27 · HOME

UPCOMING

Defensores de Cambaceres

PPG 1.09 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.5%0-111.3%0-24.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.7%1-113.0%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.6%2-17.5%2-22.9%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.7%3-12.9%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.0% — — —

Draw 31.1% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 40.0% — — —

Over 3.5 21.1% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 18.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -68.8%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.7%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 40% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.5%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.7%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 0–1 11.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Leones de Rosario1.2

Defensores de Cambaceres0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 40.0% · O3.5 PROB 21.1%

Form & verdict PPG

LEONES DE ROSARIO · PPG 1.27

DEFENSORES DE CAMBACERES · PPG 1.09

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.37, combined xG 1.93 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Leones de Rosario (H) 45.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Defensores de Cambaceres (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Leones de Rosario face Defensores de Cambaceres in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Leones de Rosario a 45% chance, the draw 31% and Defensores de Cambaceres 24%, so Leones de Rosario are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Leones de Rosario and 0.8 for Defensores de Cambaceres (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Leones de Rosario are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 1.09 for Defensores de Cambaceres.

Leones de Rosario vs Defensores de Cambaceres Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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