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Deportivo Español vs Sacachispas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 24 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 18:00

Deportivo Español

PPG 1.55 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sacachispas

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.8%0-117.6%0-26.2%0-31.5%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.0%1-112.0%1-24.3%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-05.8%2-14.1%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-01.3%3-10.9%3-20.3%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.8% — — —

Draw 36.2% — — —

Away win 33.0% — — —

Over 2.5 31.4% — — —

Over 3.5 13.1% — — —

BTTS 44.6% — — —

Home O1.5 30.2% — — —

Away O1.5 17.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 63%

ROI -68.8%

Bet Hit 13%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.6%

D 36% / xG 0.7-0.7 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.8%

#2 0–1 17.6%

#3 1–0 17.0%

#4 1–1 12.0%

#5 0–2 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Deportivo Español0.7

Sacachispas0.7

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.4% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

DEPORTIVO ESPAÑOL · PPG 1.55

SACACHISPAS · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.02, combined xG 1.39 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Deportivo Español (H) 30.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 36.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sacachispas (A) 33.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Deportivo Español face Sacachispas in Argentina - Primera C on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Deportivo Español a 31% chance, the draw 36% and Sacachispas 33%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.7 for Deportivo Español and 0.7 for Sacachispas (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Deportivo Español are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.40 for Sacachispas.

Deportivo Español vs Sacachispas Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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