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Victoriano Arenas vs General Lamadrid Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Matchday 24 ·Saturday, August 15, 2026, 18:00

Victoriano Arenas

PPG 1.64 · HOME

UPCOMING

General Lamadrid

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.2%0-110.2%0-22.2%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.7%1-110.4%1-22.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-012.1%2-15.3%2-21.2%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-04.1%3-11.8%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.3% 38.2% 2.62 +23.9%

Draw 31.5% 37.7% 2.65 -16.5%

Away win 21.2% 34.5% 2.90 -23.1%

Over 2.5 34.2% 33.3% 3.00 +2.6%

Over 3.5 14.5% 14.3% 7.00 +0.9%

BTTS 44.6% 44.4% 2.25 +0.4%

Home O1.5 30.2% 29.9% 3.35 +1.2%

Away O1.5 12.2% 27.8% 3.60 -33.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -64.3%

Bet Hit 14%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob44.6%

H 47% / xG 1.0-0.4 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.2%

#2 1–0 23.7%

#3 2–0 12.1%

#4 1–1 10.4%

#5 0–1 10.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Victoriano Arenas1.0

General Lamadrid0.4

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VICTORIANO ARENAS · PPG 1.64

GENERAL LAMADRID · PPG 0.40

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.58 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Victoriano Arenas (H) 47.3%

ODDS 2.62 · IMPLIED 38.2% EV +23.9%

Draw 31.5%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -16.5%

General Lamadrid (A) 21.2%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -23.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Victoriano Arenas face General Lamadrid in Argentina - Primera C on Saturday, August 15, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Victoriano Arenas a 47% chance, the draw 32% and General Lamadrid 21%, so Victoriano Arenas are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Victoriano Arenas and 0.4 for General Lamadrid (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Victoriano Arenas are averaging 1.64 points per game versus 0.40 for General Lamadrid. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +7.9%.

Victoriano Arenas vs General Lamadrid Prediction— Argentina - Primera C

Match Preview & Prediction

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