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All Boys vs Nueva Chicago Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 25 ·Monday, August 17, 2026, 18:00

All Boys

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nueva Chicago

PPG 0.91 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-023.1%0-112.9%0-23.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.0%1-111.7%1-23.2%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.5%2-15.3%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-02.9%3-11.6%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 45.5% 2.20 -3.4%

Draw 33.4% 37.0% 2.70 -9.8%

Away win 22.7% 27.4% 3.65 -10.3%

Over 2.5 34.2% 30.8% 3.25 +11.2%

Over 3.5 14.5% 14.3% 7.00 +0.9%

BTTS 44.6% 40.8% 2.45 +9.3%

Home O1.5 30.2% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

Away O1.5 16.7% 22.2% 4.50 -14.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 241 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 66%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 65%

ROI 1.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob44.6%

H 44% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 23.1%

#2 1–0 21.0%

#3 1–1 11.7%

#4 0–1 12.9%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

All Boys0.9

Nueva Chicago0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

ALL BOYS · PPG 1.50

NUEVA CHICAGO · PPG 0.91

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.35, combined xG 1.46 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

All Boys (H) 43.9%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -3.4%

Draw 33.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV -9.8%

Nueva Chicago (A) 22.7%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -10.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

All Boys face Nueva Chicago in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Monday, August 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives All Boys a 44% chance, the draw 33% and Nueva Chicago 23%, so All Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for All Boys and 0.6 for Nueva Chicago (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, All Boys are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.91 for Nueva Chicago. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +11.2%.

All Boys vs Nueva Chicago Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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