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Temperley vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Matchday 25 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 21:00

Temperley

PPG 1.91 · HOME

UPCOMING

Los Andes

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.6%0-115.2%0-25.3%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.9%1-112.6%1-24.4%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-07.4%2-15.2%2-21.8%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.1%3-11.4%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.4%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.9% 46.5% 2.15 -14.2%

Draw 33.6% 37.7% 2.65 -11.0%

Away win 26.6% 26.0% 3.85 +1.5%

Over 2.5 34.2% 30.8% 3.25 +11.2%

Over 3.5 16.5% 12.5% 8.00 +19.2%

BTTS 44.6% 40.8% 2.45 +9.3%

Home O1.5 30.2% 33.3% 3.00 -9.4%

Away O1.5 17.2% 21.1% 4.75 -11.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 234 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -1.1%

Bet Hit 49%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob44.6%

H 40% / xG 0.8-0.7 / U2.5 34% / NoBTTS 45%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.6%

#2 1–0 17.9%

#3 1–1 12.6%

#4 0–1 15.2%

#5 2–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Temperley0.8

Los Andes0.7

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 34.2% · O3.5 PROB 16.5%

Form & verdict PPG

TEMPERLEY · PPG 1.91

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.50

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap +0.13, combined xG 1.53 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Temperley (H) 39.9%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -14.2%

Draw 33.6%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -11.0%

Los Andes (A) 26.6%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV +1.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Temperley face Los Andes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Temperley a 40% chance, the draw 34% and Los Andes 27%, so Temperley are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Temperley and 0.7 for Los Andes (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Temperley are averaging 1.91 points per game versus 1.50 for Los Andes. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.2%.

Temperley vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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