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Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Sport Huancayo 2 Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, August 16, 2026, 18:15

Bentín Tacna Heroica

PPG 2.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sport Huancayo 2

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.6%0-14.6%0-21.4%0-30.3%0-4+0.0%1 1-014.9%1-19.1%1-22.7%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-014.8%2-18.9%2-22.7%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-09.7%3-15.9%3-21.8%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-07.6%4+-14.6%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.0% — — —

Draw 21.5% — — —

Away win 14.6% — — —

Over 2.5 51.1% — — —

Over 3.5 30.0% — — —

BTTS 47.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.6% — — —

Away O1.5 16.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.7%

H 64% / xG 2.0-0.6 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 14.8%

#2 1–0 14.9%

#3 1–1 9.1%

#4 3–0 9.7%

#5 2–1 8.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bentín Tacna Heroica2.0

Sport Huancayo 20.6

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.1% · O3.5 PROB 30.0%

Form & verdict PPG

BENTÍN TACNA HEROICA · PPG 2.33

SPORT HUANCAYO 2 · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.37 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Bentín Tacna Heroica (H) 64.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Sport Huancayo 2 (A) 14.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Bentín Tacna Heroica face Sport Huancayo 2 in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, August 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bentín Tacna Heroica a 64% chance, the draw 22% and Sport Huancayo 2 15%, so Bentín Tacna Heroica are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Bentín Tacna Heroica and 0.6 for Sport Huancayo 2 (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bentín Tacna Heroica are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.80 for Sport Huancayo 2.

Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Sport Huancayo 2 Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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