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Sport Huancayo 2 vs Santos Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 18:00

Sport Huancayo 2

PPG 1.80 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Santos

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.9%0-18.5%0-23.3%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-015.7%1-112.2%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.3%2-18.8%2-23.4%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.4%3-14.2%3-21.6%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-12.1%4+-20.8%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.1% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 20.9% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 25.8% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 18.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 33%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.4%

H 52% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 1–0 15.7%

#3 0–0 10.9%

#4 2–0✓ 11.3%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sport Huancayo 21.4

Santos0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.8%

Form & verdict PPG

SPORT HUANCAYO 2 · PPG 1.80

SANTOS · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.66 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Sport Huancayo 2 (H) 52.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Santos (A) 20.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sport Huancayo 2 face Santos in Peru - Segunda División on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sport Huancayo 2 a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Santos 21%, so Sport Huancayo 2 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Sport Huancayo 2 and 0.8 for Santos (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sport Huancayo 2 are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.80 for Santos. This match finished 2-0.

Sport Huancayo 2 vs Santos Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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