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Ayacucho FC vs Estudiantil CNI Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 16:00

Ayacucho FC

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Estudiantil CNI

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.7%0-18.2%0-22.8%0-30.7%0-4+0.1%1 1-017.0%1-111.8%1-24.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.2%2 2-012.3%2-18.5%2-23.0%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.9%3-14.1%3-21.4%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.9%4+-12.0%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.9% — — —

Draw 24.9% — — —

Away win 21.2% — — —

Over 2.5 45.9% — — —

Over 3.5 25.9% — — —

BTTS 48.4% — — —

Home O1.5 45.4% — — —

Away O1.5 17.4% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 71%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 76%

Score Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.4%

H 54% / xG 1.4-0.7 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 17.0%

#2 1–1 11.8%

#3 0–0 11.7%

#4 2–0 12.3%

#5 2–1 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ayacucho FC1.4

Estudiantil CNI0.7

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.9% · O3.5 PROB 25.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AYACUCHO FC · PPG 1.00

ESTUDIANTIL CNI · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.75 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Ayacucho FC (H) 53.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Estudiantil CNI (A) 21.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Ayacucho FC face Estudiantil CNI in Peru - Segunda División on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ayacucho FC a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Estudiantil CNI 21%, so Ayacucho FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Ayacucho FC and 0.7 for Estudiantil CNI (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ayacucho FC are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.40 for Estudiantil CNI. This match finished 1-0.

Ayacucho FC vs Estudiantil CNI Prediction— Peru - Segunda División

Match Preview & Prediction

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